Tuesday 6 May 2014

BRIDGING NIGERIA’S INFRASTRUCTURE DEFICIT - THE SEARCH FOR AN ALTERNATIVE MODEL


The recent study conducted by Mckinsey on Nigeria's Infrastructure requirement threw up the need for the investment of well over 31 Billion Dollars investment annually, well over a 10 year period for Nigeria to bridge her huge infrastructure deficit. Given the huge amount required therefore, it is near impossible to expect government to foot the entire bill, neither will traditional project finance models essentially leveraging medium to long term funds from Banks and Development Finance Institutions do much, given huge of funds required for infrastructure projects and the mirades of needs that DFI's contend with on the African Continent. So projects such as the 2nd Niger-Bridge, the East West Road, Dredging of the River Niger to allow Sea-going Vessels to Dock at in-land Ports, a Standard guage rail line connecting the State capitals and economic centres of Nigeria from North to South, Power Dams, Electricity Transmission Lines, Electricity Distribution Infrastructure and other critical infrastructure are not attended to, affecting the quality of Economic growth, the creation of jobs and the enhancement of the economic well-being and standard of living of Nigerians.
Furthermore given the fact that in government, there are competing needs and limited resources,  the projects needed to jump-start Nigeria's industrial revolution become mere pipe-dreams. So how do we move forward? Where are the risk-takers who will partner with government knowing the risk involved with Community resistance to Tolling and all other forms of payment for access to public infrastructure once concession-ed?  Apart from these, there are also other encumbrances to Public Private Partnerships, which should otherwise have helped unlock the required funding for economically viable public infrastructure projects, chief among such obstacles confronting private participation in public infrastructure provision is funding! A project such as the Lagos Ibadan Expressway will require well over one billion dollars to remodel the road and without a good Financial Model, how will Financial Institutions come together to fund such projects?

DRIVING PPP's THROUGH STRONG REGULATIONS AND BUILDING AN ALTERNATIVE FINANCIAL MODEL FOR INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS

Its been said that government cannot be left to go it alone with regards to bridging infrastructure deficit, but we all know the political risks as well as Financial model risks involved in putting together a Public Private Partnership deal? Hence, you find the failure of PPP projects the like of the Lagos Ibadan Expressway, the Lagos Local Airport and lately the Lekki Link Bridge. But we cannot allow that to frustrate the delivery of economic infrastructure which have potential to create jobs as well as leapfrog growth and development. So we need to think through a proper financial model and a strong regulatory platform for delivering PPP's - one that ensures that projects time horizons are shortened, project partners reap benefits derivable from such projects, with minimum resistance from users of such economic infrastructure, citizens, local community and politicians.

BRIDGING THE FUNDING GAP - HOW CAN PENSION FUNDS HELP?

With the Nigerian Pension reforms, we suddenly have a situation where we have trillions of naira sitting with Pension Custodians which are deployed to all manner of investment which do not add much value. For a while, the CBN under its Financial System Strategy -  FSS2020 - has been trying to help unlock Pension Funds for infrastructure Financing with very little success thus far. I reckon that government needs to throw its weight behind this initiative as it will have multiplier effects in the sense that once we are able to develop critical economic infrastructure such as Roads, Bridges, Rail as well as Power and Energy Infrastructure. it will automatically reduce the cost of doing business, create more jobs, lead to output gains with consequent impact on our Gross Domestic Product.

THINKING OF AN ALTERNATIVE INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDING MODEL - ONE THAT OFFERS A WIN-WIN PROPOSITION FOR GOVERNMENT AND ITS PRIVATE SECTOR PARTNERS

I reckon also that in terms of gains accrual to Pension Custodians and Administrators, Infrastructure Financing will have very positive impact as it will help value addition and risk diversification. Also from the Infrastructure Project Owners and Off-takers, the deployment of patient capital will lessen the burden of having an investment-mismatch and limit defaults. My take therefore is that government should throw its political weight behind birthing an alternative funding model for infrastructure projects - one that meets  Nigeria's economic target, makes  us competitive in terms of the ease of doing business and delivers quality growth which creates jobs and enhances the living standards of Nigerians.

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